An expert of political science says that a realistic analysis exposes the hidden hands behind the incidences taking place in Afghanistan. “Afghanistan is host to a series of complicated and extraordinary incidences which makes the ...
An expert of political science says that a realistic analysis exposes the hidden hands behind the incidences taking place in Afghanistan. “Afghanistan is host to a series of complicated and extraordinary incidences which makes the future vaguely predictable.”
Political Analyst Kiumars Yazdanpanah who had joined our show Rooydad, says: “some occurrences were predictable but everyone was taken by surprise by the pace of the changes.”
He also said that a realistic approach towards the situation in Afghanistan will expose the hidden agendas behind the moves. “Afghanistan is host to many complicated and strange occurrences which makes the future much more unpredictable.”
Yazdanpanah didn’t rule out the possibility of a civil war in Afghanistan saying: “There were lots of differences inside this country; The power conflict led to negligence towards the ground realities which resulted in this crisis.”
He pointed out the Taliban’s control over the leadership and said: “The biggest threat to the country is a civil war; If the current situation remains for the next 3 months and the people are not able to cope with the changes then multiple anti-Taliban fronts may start to conceive.”
Yazdanpanah mentioned Northern Alliance’s slain leader Ahmad Shah Masoud’s son as an example who can lead a front against the Taliban. “If the Taliban is unable to demonstrate a different version of themselves in comparison to their dark past, then a civil war is foreseeable.”
He also called Afghanistan a country that is trapped into 72 years of war and catastrophe and still its destiny is deep into uncertainty.
Yazdanpanah said unfortunately a bright future for the Afghans is not predictable at all saying: “One of the reasons which may lead to a civil war is the upcoming negotiations because Taliban has the upper hand in its progress while on the other side most of the political leaders have fled the country leaving all the sources of power to the Taliban.”
He further said it’s hard to convince Taliban not to break apart the establishment and this goal is hardly achievable.
“On the other hand, Taliban is waiting to see if the rest of the world is ready to accept their rule on this country or not!”
He added that the Taliban has chosen the authoritarian path to power; Therefore, the talks won’t affect the destiny of the Afghans soon.
